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US Housing Market Slows as Mortgage Rates Rise

THE QUICK ANSWER

Mortgage rates rose from roughly 6.8% to 7.6% in September, causing a 7.3% drop in pending home sales [1]. This shift has led to the lowest level of contract signings in at least 25 years and an increase in contract cancellations [2].

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US Housing Market Slows as Mortgage Rates Rise
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What happened

  1. September 2026

    Average 30-year fixed mortgage rates climb from 6.8% to 7.6% [1].

  2. September 2026

    Pending home sales fall 7.3% from August and 11.3% compared to the previous year [1].

  3. September 2026

    Single-family housing starts drop 4.56% to the lowest level since September 2025 [1].

  4. October 2026

    Homebuilder sentiment reaches its lowest point in 14 years [1].

What you need to know

1

The West and South saw the largest monthly sales declines at 9.2% and 8.2%, respectively [1].

2

Building permits fell 4% in September, suggesting a slowdown in future construction [1].

3

Builders are using incentives and price cuts to sell existing projects [1].

4

Housing starts and permits have fallen more than analysts expected [1].

NOT KNOWN YET

The exact number of contract cancellations is not included in the pending sales data [2].

Background

Pending home sales track signed contracts for existing houses and serve as a primary indicator of buyer activity [1][2].

The market is currently facing a combination of high construction costs, low consumer confidence, and limited housing supply [1].

Economists suggest that reduced construction activity now could lead to fewer available homes and higher prices in a few years [2].

Questions people ask

Why are pending home sales dropping?

Higher mortgage rates have made homes less affordable, causing buyers to pull back or cancel contracts [1][2].

How is the construction industry reacting?

Housing starts and building permits have declined as builders see less demand and struggle with profit margins [1].

Where this came from

HOW THIS PAGE WAS MADE

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