What impact could Hurricane Gabrielle have on the UK this weekend?

So far this season there have been more tropical storms and hurricanes in the east Pacific than the Atlantic basin. The Atlantic hurricane season has been quiet for multiple reasons but we are now in the peak period of hurricane activity.Gabrielle is still forecast to be a hurricane on Friday as it travels across the Atlantic to the west of Iberia. We know that it will weaken at the weekend but there remains considerable uncertainty over where the remains of the hurricane will go with two of the main global weather computer models in disagreement.The EC model shows a band of rain crossing the UK on Friday night and Saturday with Gabrielle bringing extremely wet and windy weather to Portugal by Sunday.Whereas with the GFS model the UK stays dry this weekend and Gabrielle spins into the Bay of Biscay bringing damaging winds and rain to northern Spain on Sunday.It is likely that both these scenarios will change in the next few days.



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